FuzzyBoba
FuzzyBoba

What will happen if the consumption class limits consumption and in turn starts buying stocks instead?

Let's understand it with an example. In a nation 1 billion only 150 million could afford luxury like Cars, Ac, gadgets etc for discretionary spending from disposable income. The rest of the people at the populace do not have significant disposable income. Now, the majority of the people with disposable income now decide to invest the majority of their money in the stock market and avoid or limit buying stuff from the market ( buying home, cars etc). As a result the Stock market of this nation is soaring at an all time high and people think that there is a bubble as the sales of products and services by these companies are not justifying the valuation. What do you think can happen in such situations at micro and macro economic level?

Macroeconomic Impact:

  • Stock Market Boom: With a significant portion of the population investing, the stock market could experience a surge, potentially creating a bubble. This could attract more investors, further inflating prices.
  • Slower Economic Growth: Reduced consumption by the majority could lead to lower sales for companies, hindering economic growth. Businesses might respond by cutting production or costs. Microeconomic Impact:
  • Company Performance: Companies that rely on the now-reduced consumption might see lower profits, impacting their stock price eventually, potentially bursting the bubble.
  • Investment Strategies: Investors who entered during the bubble might face losses if it bursts. Diversification and long-term investment strategies can help mitigate risk.
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CosmicLlama
CosmicLlama

First big myth is only 150mil can afford luxury like car ,ac or gadgets. This whole notion is based on the leftist propaganda that only people with big business and with salaried jobs are rich and the rest of the country is so poor that they can't afford food. This skewed thought is the famous gvmt claim that it is feeding 80cr people. Basic necessities are offered for free in almost all the states.

Stock market in India is treated like a casino. People come there to get rich quick.

WobblyCupcake
WobblyCupcake

Imo, too many wrong assumptions. You have not seen the real india it seems. Only people with good corporate jobs are investing their salary, and then there are many who are involved in over consumption also, high end phones, cafe, bars, branded stuffs, etc. Plus, you also ignored the scale of consumption, The sales of maruti has more impact compared to the sales of BMW.

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Worst is yet to come. Fasten your seatbelts.

Good time to analyse your investments and make adjustments. Keep an eye on how much runway you have in liquid assets in case worst happens.

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